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Methodology

The YG Policy Center’s survey of 1000 registered voters was conducted March 11-14, 2012. Respondents were selected randomly from a random-digit-dialing sample including both cellular and landline telephone numbers, and were contacted by live interviewers.

NATIONAL SURVEY OF REGISTERED VOTERS

REGARDING HEALTH CARE REFORM

MARCH 11-14, 2012

Hello, this is _____ with Opinionology, a national public opinion research company. We're talking with people in your area today about some issues facing the country. We are not trying to sell anything, your answers are completely confidential, and we would really appreciate your cooperation (DO NOT PAUSE).

FOR CELL PHONE SAMPLE:      
CELL 1. Have I reached you on a cell phone?      
YES........................................................................................... 1 GO TO Q. CELL 2
NO............................................................................................. 2 THANK AND CLOSE
CELL 2. Are you in a place right now where you can safely take the survey?      
YES........................................................................................... 1 GO TO Q. A
NO............................................................................................. 2 SCHEDULE CALLBACK
NOT WILLING TO TAKE SURVEY..................................... 3 THANK AND CLOSE
       
A. Are you registered to vote in the county in which you live?      
YES........................................................................................... 1 GO TO Q. C
NO............................................................................................. 2 GO TO Q. B
B. Is there anyone else in your household who is registered to vote in your county? IF YES, ASK: May I speak
with that person, please?      
YES........................................................................................... 1 GO TO INTRO
NO............................................................................................. 2 THANK AND CLOSE

C. How likely would you say you are to vote in the elections for President and Congress this year: absolutely certain, very likely, somewhat likely, or not too likely?

  ALL REP IND DEM
ABSOLUTELY CERTAIN ................................................... 71% 76% 68% 72%
VERY LIKELY ..................................................................... 19% 17% 21% 18%
SOMEWHAT LIKELY .......................................................... 5% 4% 6% 5%
NOT TOO LIKELY................................................................ 4% 2% 5% 5%
DON’T KNOW/REFUSED.................................................... 1% 0% 1% 1%

Results are based on 1000 respondents, MoE = ±3.10 percent. Totals may not equal 100 percent due to rounding.

North Star Opinion Research

Page 1

Views of Health Care Reform

1. Do you currently have health insurance coverage? IF YES, ASK: Are you covered through a government program like Medicare or Medicaid, through employer-provided health insurance, or do you pay for your health insurance yourself?

  ALL REP IND DEM
YES/GOVERNMENT PROGRAM ...................................... 22% 18% 21% 28%
YES/EMPLOYER-PROVIDED............................................ 50% 56% 51% 45%
YES/PAY FOR INDIVIDUALLY ........................................ 17% 19% 18% 15%
NO, NOT COVERED............................................................ 10% 6% 10% 11%
DON'T KNOW ....................................................................... 1% 1% 0% 0%
         

2. Overall, how satisfied are you with your health insurance coverage: (ROTATE FRONT TO BACK, BACK TO FRONT: very satisfied, somewhat satisfied, somewhat dissatisfied, or very dissatisfied)?

  ALL REP IND DEM
VERY SATISFIED................................................................ 53% 57% 48% 54%
SOMEWHAT SATISFIED.................................................... 36% 36% 39% 33%
SOMEWHAT DISSATISFIED .............................................. 6% 3% 7% 8%
VERY DISSATISFIED .......................................................... 4% 4% 5% 3%
DON'T KNOW ....................................................................... 1% 1% 1% 2%
SATISFIED............................................................................ 89% 93% 87% 87%
DISSATISFIED ..................................................................... 10% 7% 12% 11%
DON’T KNOW....................................................................... 1% 1% 1% 2%

Note: Results based on 896 respondents who have health insurance coverage.

3. Overall, do you support or oppose the health care reform plan that passed in 2010? (IF SUPPORT/OPPOSE,
ASK: Would that be strongly (SUPPORT/OPPOSE) or just somewhat (SUPPORT/OPPOSE)?    
    ALL REP IND DEM
  STRONGLY SUPPORT........................................................ 22% 4% 18% 43%
  SOMEWHAT SUPPORT ...................................................... 16% 5% 17% 24%
  SOMEWHAT OPPOSE......................................................... 11% 13% 15% 7%
  STRONGLY OPPOSE .......................................................... 34% 64% 31% 8%
  DON'T KNOW ...................................................................... 17% 13% 20% 18%
  SUPPORT .............................................................................. 38% 9% 35% 67%
  OPPOSE................................................................................. 45% 77% 46% 15%
  DON’T KNOW...................................................................... 17% 13% 20% 18%
           

4. Since health care reform was passed in 2010, are your health care costs going up, going down, or staying about the same?

  ALL REP IND DEM
GOING UP............................................................................. 47% 58% 53% 31%
GOING DOWN ...................................................................... 2% 2% 1% 5%
STAYING THE SAME ......................................................... 45% 36% 41% 59%
DON'T KNOW ....................................................................... 6% 4% 5% 5%
         

Results are based on 1000 respondents, MoE = ±3.10 percent. Totals may not equal 100 percent due to rounding.

North Star Opinion Research

Page 2

Do you think the health care reform law passed in 2010 will increase, decrease, or have no effect on each of the following: (RANDOMIZE)

          NO DON'T
    INCREASE DECREASE EFFECT KNOW
5. Your health care costs ALL 58% 7% 26% 9%
    REP 77% 2% 15% 7%
    IND 60% 7% 24% 8%
    DEM 39% 11% 40% 10%
6. The federal deficit ALL 60% 7% 19% 14%
    REP 79% 2% 8% 10%
    IND 64% 7% 17% 12%
    DEM 40% 11% 31% 18%
7. Your health insurance or Medicare ALL 56% 6% 25% 13%
  premiums REP 75% 2% 14% 9%
    IND 56% 7% 25% 11%
    DEM 39% 7% 38% 16%
8. Your taxes ALL 59% 4% 26% 11%
    REP 83% 2% 8% 7%
    IND 60% 3% 26% 11%
    DEM 38% 7% 41% 15%
9. The quality of health care you receive ALL 18% 30% 42% 10%
    REP 13% 49% 29% 8%
    IND 15% 29% 45% 11%
    DEM 25% 13% 52% 10%
             

Results are based on 1000 respondents, MoE = ±3.10 percent. Totals may not equal 100 percent due to rounding.

North Star Opinion Research

Page 3

Now I am going to read a list of statements that have been made about the health care reform plan that passed in 2010. For each one, would you please tell me if you think that statement is true or false: (RANDOMIZE)

            DON’T
      TRUE FALSE KNOW
10. If you like your current health plan, you will be able to ALL 64% 27% 9%
  keep it. REP 46% 45% 10%
    IND 64% 28% 8%
    DEM 82% 11% 7%
11. The plan will lower health insurance premiums for the ALL 21% 67% 13%
  average family by two thousand five hundred dollars REP 5% 90% 5%
  per year. IND 18% 68% 14%
    DEM 36% 47% 17%
12. The plan will not increase taxes for anyone who earns ALL 32% 57% 10%
  under two hundred fifty thousand dollars a year. REP 12% 81% 7%
    IND 31% 57% 11%
    DEM 53% 36% 10%
13. The plan will lower health care costs for individuals, ALL 26% 64% 10%
  businesses, and the federal government. REP 10% 85% 5%
    IND 21% 71% 9%
    DEM 48% 39% 12%
14. The plan will not lead to a doctor shortage, rationing, or ALL 37% 56% 7%
  harm the quality of care. REP 17% 77% 5%
    IND 39% 54% 7%
    DEM 54% 39% 7%
15. The plan will not add one dime to the federal budget ALL 20% 71% 9%
  deficit. REP 8% 89% 3%
    IND 19% 73% 8%
    DEM 32% 53% 15%
16. The plan will not require cuts in Medicare. ALL 30% 57% 13%
    REP 12% 79% 9%
    IND 31% 56% 13%
    DEM 46% 38% 16%
   
17. Do you think the federal government does or does not have the authority to require every American to buy
health care insurance or pay a fine?          
      ALL REP IND DEM
  DOES .....................................................................................   24% 8% 22% 41%
  DOES NOT ............................................................................   69% 88% 70% 52%
  DON'T KNOW .......................................................................   7% 4% 7% 7%
             

Results are based on 1000 respondents, MoE = ±3.10 percent. Totals may not equal 100 percent due to rounding.

North Star Opinion Research

Page 4

Repeal and Replace

18. Do you think Congress should or should not repeal and replace the health care reform law passed in 2010?

  ALL REP IND DEM
SHOULD REPEAL ............................................................... 53% 82% 56% 24%
SHOULD NOT REPEAL ...................................................... 37% 12% 33% 65%
DON'T KNOW ...................................................................... 10% 6% 11% 11%
         

19.Which of the following statements comes closer to your view: (ROTATE)

a)President Obama’s health care plan is an important achievement that will allow all Americans to have access to health insurance, and should be implemented as soon as possible.

b)President Obama’s health care plan will add too much to the deficit, raise taxes, and give the government too much power over health care, and should be repealed and replaced.

  ALL REP IND DEM
SHOULD BE IMPLEMENTED............................................ 40% 7% 36% 73%
SHOULD BE REPEALED.................................................... 54% 89% 57% 18%
DON'T KNOW ....................................................................... 7% 4% 7% 8%
         

20.Which of the following statements comes closer to your view: (ROTATE)

a)President Obama did the right thing by focusing on passing health care reform his first year in office. Rising health care costs and the uninsured were major problems we could no longer wait to address.

b)President Obama did the wrong thing by focusing on passing health care reform his first year in office. He should have worked harder to get the economy going and creating jobs before moving on to other issues.

  ALL REP IND DEM
DID RIGHT THING.............................................................. 38% 6% 37% 69%
DID WRONG THING ........................................................... 56% 91% 55% 25%
DON'T KNOW ....................................................................... 6% 3% 7% 5%
         

21. Would you be (ROTATE: more likely or less likely) to vote for a candidate for Congress who supported repealing and replacing the 2010 health care reform law, or would the issue have no effect on your support?

  ALL REP IND DEM
MORE LIKELY..................................................................... 39% 66% 38% 18%
LESS LIKELY....................................................................... 23% 8% 22% 38%
NO EFFECT .......................................................................... 30% 21% 33% 36%
DON'T KNOW ....................................................................... 8% 5% 8% 8%
         

Results are based on 1000 respondents, MoE = ±3.10 percent. Totals may not equal 100 percent due to rounding.

North Star Opinion Research

Page 5

Now I would like to ask you about several other proposals some people have made to reform health care. For each of the following, please tell me if you support or oppose that proposal: (RANDOMIZE)

          DON'T
    SUPPORT OPPOSE KNOW
Reforming Medical Malpractice ALL      
22. Reforming the medical malpractice system to reduce the 71% 20% 9%
  number of lawsuits against doctors and hospitals. REP 81% 13% 6%
    IND 74% 18% 8%
    DEM 61% 29% 10%
Controlling Costs ALL      
23. Allowing young people to purchase health insurance 84% 10% 6%
  policies with basic, limited coverage at much lower REP 84% 8% 8%
  premiums than currently available. IND 85% 11% 4%
    DEM 83% 13% 4%
24. Allowing people to purchase health insurance across state ALL 78% 15% 7%
  lines to increase the number of options in the marketplace. REP 80% 14% 6%
    IND 82% 14% 4%
    DEM 73% 18% 9%
25. Allowing people to purchase health insurance on an a la ALL 81% 15% 5%
  carte basis, so they could buy a cheaper policy that does REP 86% 11% 4%
  not cover things they do not need or want. IND 84% 11% 5%
    DEM 74% 21% 4%
Ensuring Access to Health Insurance ALL      
26. Allowing individuals to purchase health insurance 86% 9% 6%
  coverage with pre-tax dollars, so that they can have REP 87% 7% 6%
  an insurance policy they own themselves, and can keep IND 87% 8% 5%
  if they change jobs. DEM 85% 11% 5%
27. Requiring health insurance plans to offer insurance to ALL 89% 8% 4%
  people who have a pre-existing condition. REP 84% 12% 4%
    IND 89% 8% 4%
    DEM 93% 4% 3%
Improving Flexibility ALL      
28. Expanding health savings accounts that allow people to 83% 11% 6%
  save money tax-free for use on any medical expenses. REP 89% 7% 4%
    IND 84% 11% 5%
    DEM 79% 15% 7%
29. Using block grants to give states more flexibility on how ALL 60% 24% 16%
  they administer their Medicaid plans. REP 68% 19% 13%
    IND 61% 24% 15%
    DEM 52% 31% 17%
30. Encouraging health care reform at the state level, rather ALL 67% 25% 8%
  than the federal level, so that each state can enact reforms REP 83% 11% 6%
  that are best for its residents. IND 69% 25% 5%
    DEM 52% 39% 9%

Results are based on 1000 respondents, MoE = ±3.10 percent. Totals may not equal 100 percent due to rounding.

North Star Opinion Research

Page 6

        DON'T
  SUPPORT OPPOSE KNOW
Expanding Choice ALL      
31. Allowing seniors who choose to do so to purchase private 62% 27% 11%
health insurance coverage with Medicare money, instead REP 71% 20% 10%
of using traditional Medicare. IND 61% 27% 11%
  DEM 56% 34% 10%
32. Ensuring that patients and doctors can make health care ALL 85% 10% 6%
decisions without the interference of government REP 93% 4% 3%
bureaucrats. IND 87% 8% 6%
  DEM 76% 17% 8%
         

Demographics

Now I have a few questions just for statistical purposes.

33. In politics today, do you normally think of yourself as (ROTATE: a Republican, an independent, or a Democrat)?

    ALL
IF "REP" OR "DEM", ASK: STRONG REP......................... 20%
Would you consider yourself a strong or NOT-SO-STRONG REP.......... 9%
a not-so-strong Republican/Democrat? IND LEAN REP...................... 10%
  IND/NO PREF ........................ 13%
IF "INDEPENDENT," ASK: IND LEAN DEM .................... 10%
Do you think of yourself as closer to the NOT-SO-STRONG DEM ....... 11%
(ROTATE: Republican or Democratic STRONG DEM ....................... 23%
Party)? REFUSED ................................ 5%
     
34. When thinking about politics today, do you normally consider yourself to be (ROTATE: very conservative,
somewhat conservative, moderate, somewhat liberal, or very liberal)?        
    ALL REP IND DEM
  VERY CONSERVATIVE ..................................................... 19% 39% 11% 9%
  SOMEWHAT CONSERVATIVE......................................... 26% 38% 26% 15%
  MODERATE ......................................................................... 26% 13% 39% 26%
  SOMEWHAT LIBERAL....................................................... 16% 5% 15% 30%
  VERY LIBERAL.................................................................... 8% 2% 5% 16%
  NO OPINION ......................................................................... 6% 3% 5% 5%
         
35. Would you please stop me when I read the last level of education you completed?      
    ALL REP IND DEM
  LESS THAN HIGH SCHOOL ............................................... 3% 2% 3% 4%
  HIGH SCHOOL GRAD ........................................................ 16% 12% 13% 24%
  SOME COLLEGE ................................................................. 26% 31% 26% 22%
  COLLEGE GRAD ................................................................. 32% 39% 33% 25%
  GRADUATE OR PROFESSIONAL SCHOOL.................... 21% 15% 24% 24%
  REFUSED (DO NOT READ) ................................................ 3% 1% 2% 1%
           

Results are based on 1000 respondents, MoE = ±3.10 percent. Totals may not equal 100 percent due to rounding.

North Star Opinion Research

Page 7

36. Would you please stop me when I read the correct category for your age?

  ALL REP IND DEM
18 TO 34 ................................................................................ 21% 20% 25% 20%
35 TO 49 ................................................................................ 34% 41% 36% 25%
50 TO 64 ................................................................................ 27% 25% 24% 32%
65 OR OLDER....................................................................... 18% 14% 15% 23%
REFUSED (DO NOT READ) ................................................ 0% 0% 0% 0%
         

37. Would you please stop me when I read the correct category for your total household income?

  ALL REP IND DEM
$25,000 OR LESS.................................................................. 14% 10% 12% 21%
$25,000 TO $50,000 .............................................................. 16% 13% 20% 17%
$50,000 TO $75,000 .............................................................. 19% 21% 21% 18%
$75,000 TO $100,000 ............................................................ 15% 16% 14% 17%
$100,000 TO $150,000 .......................................................... 13% 16% 15% 10%
$150,000 TO $250,000 ........................................................... 7% 8% 7% 5%
$250,000 OR MORE............................................................... 3% 3% 1% 4%
REFUSED.............................................................................. 13% 14% 11% 9%
         
38. Would you call yourself an evangelical Christian or not?        
  ALL REP IND DEM
YES ........................................................................................ 33% 46% 28% 27%
NO.......................................................................................... 58% 47% 64% 65%
DON'T KNOW (DNR) ........................................................... 5% 5% 4% 5%
REFUSED (DNR)................................................................... 4% 2% 4% 3%
         

39.Are you or is anyone in your immediate family a member of a labor union? IF YES, ASK: Is it a government employee or private sector union?

  ALL REP IND DEM
YES/GOVERNMENT EMPLOYEE UNION....................... 10% 7% 10% 12%
YES/PRIVATE SECTOR UNION........................................ 11% 8% 12% 12%
NO.......................................................................................... 75% 82% 74% 72%
DON'T KNOW ....................................................................... 5% 3% 4% 4%
         

40.Are you from a Hispanic or Spanish-speaking background?

IF NO, ASK: What would you say is your main race: white, African American, Asian, or something else?

  ALL REP IND DEM
YES/HISPANIC...................................................................... 8% 7% 5% 12%
NO/WHITE............................................................................ 75% 91% 82% 57%
NO/BLACK/AFRICAN AMERICAN .................................. 13% 0% 9% 28%
NO/ASIAN.............................................................................. 1% 0% 1% 2%
NO/OTHER ............................................................................ 1% 1% 2% 1%
REFUSED............................................................................... 1% 0% 2% 0%
         

Results are based on 1000 respondents, MoE = ±3.10 percent. Totals may not equal 100 percent due to rounding.

North Star Opinion Research

Page 8

41. Gender (from observation):        
    ALL REP IND DEM
  MALE .................................................................................... 47% 46% 53% 40%
  FEMALE................................................................................ 53% 54% 47% 60%
           

42. Finally, in what state do you live?

_______________________________________________________________________

That's all the questions I have. Thank you very much for sharing your opinions with us.

Results are based on 1000 respondents, MoE = ±3.10 percent. Totals may not equal 100 percent due to rounding.

North Star Opinion Research

Page 9